Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,299$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(646 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(52.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,221.4}{1 + 10^{-0.056 (t - 37.7)}}\) (asimptote \(2,221.4\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $107$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(25 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(38.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{105.3}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 36.5)}}\) (asimptote \(105.3\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $50$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $56,043$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(3.79 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{68,883.1}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 84.7)}}\) (asimptote \(68,883.1\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,053$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(733 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(32.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,934.1}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 48.9)}}\) (asimptote \(4,934.1\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $50,990$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,742$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(2.89 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(59.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,325.5}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 32.3)}}\) (asimptote \(8,325.5\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $244$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(78.1 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(50.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{235.3}{1 + 10^{-0.057 (t - 29.6)}}\) (asimptote \(235.3\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $360$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,142$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(1.36 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(40.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,059.9}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 48.9)}}\) (asimptote \(7,059.9\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $326$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(76.2 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(37.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{321.7}{1 + 10^{-0.052 (t - 35.6)}}\) (asimptote \(321.7\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $616$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $12,591$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(2.93 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(45.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,128.6}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 42.0)}}\) (asimptote \(12,128.6\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $600$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(169 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(46.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{581.4}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 33.1)}}\) (asimptote \(581.4\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $509$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,822$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(716 \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(67.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,804.8}{1 + 10^{-0.077 (t - 29.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,804.8\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(4.64 \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(69.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 22.4)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $7$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $60,550$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(1.38 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(44.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{58,323.0}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 41.9)}}\) (asimptote \(58,323.0\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,696$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(2.3 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(41.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,418.7}{1 + 10^{-0.054 (t - 38.0)}}\) (asimptote \(9,418.7\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $34,083$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $304,580$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(4.31 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(34.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{296,456.0}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 53.7)}}\) (asimptote \(296,456.0\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $42,674$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(7.51 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(36.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{40,601.2}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 44.9)}}\) (asimptote \(40,601.2\))
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $260,587$ on 2020-06-20
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $238,275$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(6.07 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(51.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{231,763.2}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 42.9)}}\) (asimptote \(231,763.2\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $34,610$ on 2020-06-20
Best fit exponential: \(7.8 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(47.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{33,431.5}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 45.3)}}\) (asimptote \(33,431.5\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $21,212$ on 2020-06-20
